Presidents Cup Picks, Predictions & Odds to Win (2026): USA Storms to 11th Straight Victory

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.The 2026 Presidents Cup is here, and Team USA is a massive favorite to win the event for an 11th consecutive time ahead of Day 1 at Medinah Country Club in Chicago on Thursday, Sept. 24. My top Presidents Cup picks and golf picks expect the star-studded Americans to jump to an early lead and take down the International squad again this week. ⛳ Key takeaways Best early pick: Team USA to win (82%) - The Americans are considerably more talented and have dominated this event to the tune of a 13-1-1 record that includes 10 consecutive victories Medinah Country Club (No. 3): Features wide fairways and massive multi-tiered greens, offering a long 7,548-yard layout optimized for aggressive match-play strategy Weather: Early forecasts call for comfortable, overcast autumn conditions with highs in the 65-75°F range and light winds Trading volume: There's been $186,457 traded as of Tuesday, Sept. 22, with the $37,937 exchanged since yesterday doing little to move the markets 📇 Presidents Cup top picks Pick Probability Team USA to win 82% Team USA to win Day 1 55% Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring. 📊 Presidents Cup odds The 2026 Presidents Cup runs at Medinah Country Club from Thursday, Sept. 24, through Sunday, Sept. 27. Team Probability Team USA 82% ⚖️ Draw 4% 🌎 Team International 16% Percentages courtesy of Kalshi. The Americans were trading as high as 85.9% in May, so while Team USA is still a colossal favorite, the long number attached to the International Team has garnered attention from traders. Additionally, while the Americans could see their number dip even further, I’m not anticipating it because they’re the superior team by a significant margin. Start trading with Kalshi today! Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS60' and trade $25 on any event contracts — including the Presidents Cup to get $60! Sign Up Now at *Eligible U.S. locations only 🏆 Who will win the Presidents Cup? Pick: Team USA to win (81%) The Americans have a 13-1-1 all-time Presidents Cup record that includes 10 consecutive tournament victories. With the 2026 edition returning to home soil, I'm fully confident the U.S. side will make it 11 straight wins to 88%. There is a huge talent gap between the two teams. Team USA has seven of the top eight players in true strokes gained tee-to-green in 2026 in this event, in addition to having 10 golfers ranked inside DataGolf’s Top 15, while the International team only has Si Woo Kim. Finally, on top of the highlighted sheer mismatch of talent, the Americans also have a huge experience edge in match play because they also play the Ryder Cup biennially. 💰 Presidents Cup prop picks Pick: Team USA to win Day 1 (55%) The Americans have won nine of the 10 opening-day matches across the past two Presidents Cups, and I’m expecting more of the same this week. As noted, there is more high-end talent on Team USA, but the Internationals also have eight of the nine lowest ranked players in true strokes gained tee-to-green this season. Additionally, with five matches and only 12 players on each team, this lack of depth will be exposed immediately. 🚩 Course breakdown: Medinah Country Club Par & Yardage: Par 70, 7,548 yards Design & Architecture: Complete 2024 redesign by OCM Golf (led by International captain Geoff Ogilvy), which doubled fairway acreage and expanded green sizes by 40% Tournament Routing: The Presidents Cup will begin on the members' fifth hole to ensure matches reach the dramatic Lake Kadijah water holes (tournament holes No. 12 and 13) The newly transformed Course No. 3 shifted from traditional penal rough in favor of wider fairways, massive multi-tiered greens, and clear sightlines across the property. This places a massive premium on creative shot-making and tactical angles rather than just straight driving. Players are forced to challenge cross-bunkers and navigate complex green run-offs, and the layout rewards aggressive risk-taking to suit match play perfectly. Players to watch: Scottie Scheffler: While his match-play track record doesn’t jump off the page, Scheffler is the World No. 1 for a reason and checks all the stylistic and statistical boxes to lead his side to victory Patrick Cantlay: This is the fourth consecutive Presidents Cup for Cantlay (10-4-0), and in addition to finishing second in the 2019 BMW Championship at Medinah, he also paces this event in true strokes gained on approach across his past 10 tournaments Si Woo Kim: A tee-to-green specialist with a 6-5-0 Presidents Cup record, Kim also gained true strokes across the board during his only competitive tournament at Medinah 🔢 Key stats & player profiles to target True strokes gained approach, true strokes gained tee-to-green Birdie-or-better percentage True strokes gained off-the-tee True strokes gained around-the-green, scrambling percentage Match play experience Players to watch: Collin Morikawa: The ball-striking precision has translated to a 6-2-0 Presidents Cup record, and Morikawa finished the 2026 season fourth in birdie-or-better percentage Justin Thomas: Elite 10-3-2 Presidents Cup record, and he also won the 2019 BMW Championship at Medinah Ryan Fox: The reigning Open Champion finished sixth in Par-4 birdie-or-better percentage in 2026, and Fox will be a key rookie for the International squad 📺 How to watch the Presidents Cup Thursday: 12:30 p.m. – 7 p.m. ET on Golf Channel / Peacock Friday: 2 p.m. – 7 p.m. ET on Golf Channel / Peacock Saturday: 8 a.m. – 9 a.m. ET on Golf Channel / 9 a.m. – 7 p.m. ET on NBC & Peacock Sunday: 12 p.m. – 6 p.m. ET on NBC & Peacock Presidents Cup FAQs What is the Presidents Cup? The Presidents Cup is a biennial men's team golf tournament featuring a 12-player squad from the United States playing against a 12-player International Team representing the rest of the world outside of Europe. Who is the 2026 Presidents Cup favorite? Team USA is an 82% favorite at Kalshi. When is the 2026 Presidents Cup? The 2026 Presidents Cup will be played from Thursday, Sept. 24 to Sunday, Sept. 27. Where will the 2026 Presidents Cup be played? The 2026 Presidents Cup will be played at Medinah Country Club in Illinois. Who won the last Presidents Cup? Team USA won the last Presidents Cup in 2024. The final score was 18.5-11.5 over Team International. Are Presidents Cup odds the same across all sportsbooks? You'll see slight to significant variations in odds across sportsbooks and prediction markets for the Presidents Cup; it's always good practice to check multiple sports betting sites for the best odds. Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.Not intended for use in MA.Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.