MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions for Sept. 22

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. There's a heavy slate today featuring 16 games, including a doubleheader, and our MLB expert picks have unearthed some appealing value. Our analysts have you covered throughout the evening as you make your ML…
Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.There's a heavy slate today featuring 16 games, including a doubleheader, and our MLB expert picks have unearthed some appealing value. Our analysts have you covered throughout the evening as you make your MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 22. MLB expert picks for today Pick Probability Jon Metler: LAD ML 54% Joe Osborne: MIN/SF o7.5 49% Dustin Saracini: TOR/BAL o7.5 48% Probabilities courtesy of Polymarket. For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator. Trade on MLB at Polymarket! Sign up now using our exclusive Polymarket promo code 'COVERS' (on your mobile app only) and get a $20 trading bonus after you deposit $10 to trade on any other event contracts — including MLB expert picks! Sign Up Now at *Eligible locations only Jon Metler's expert pick: Dodgers moneyline Price: 54¢ at Polymarket The Los Angeles Dodgers are trading at 54%, but I price them closer to 57%, so I'm hitting the button. Justin Wrobleski will open the game, but the Dodgers also plan to use Roki Sasaki in relief as he returns from the injured list following a blister issue and prepares for a potential postseason bullpen role. Sasaki could be a major weapon in that role because he can empty the tank for a couple of innings, attack hitters with his high-octane four-seamer at the top of the zone, and then work his splitter off of it down in the zone, rather than pacing himself for a traditional 90-pitch outing. That usage is flying under the radar, and I think it's a big reason we're seeing an edge at the current market price. Sasaki gives the Dodgers a legitimate middle-relief weapon, and he can bridge the game to the back end of their bullpen. Time: 10:10 p.m. ET How to watch: TBS Joe Osborne's expert pick: Twins vs Giants Over 7.5 Price: 49¢ at Polymarket This total is too low for a marginal pitching matchup with 14.7-mph winds blowing out. Neither the Minnesota Twins nor the San Francisco Giants are tearing it up offensively, but eight runs hardly requires a clinic against these arms. Taj Bradley has allowed three-plus runs in five straight road outings, and a bullpen ranking 23rd in ERA over the last two weeks backs him. Anthony Molina gets the start for the Giants and has produced a 4.82 ERA since joining the rotation. The last time we saw him pitch at AT&T Park, he was smacked around for seven earned runs off nine hits against the San Diego Padres. Time: 9:45 p.m. ET How to watch: NBC Sports Bay Area, Twins.TV Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Blue Jays vs Orioles Over 7.5 Price: 48¢ at Polymarket I'd price this closer to 54%, so we're going to take advantage of this value. The Toronto Blue Jays see a familiar face on the bump in Chris Bassitt tonight. While he's been fine over his last two starts for the Baltimore Orioles, his 4.96 xERA suggests Toronto should be able to get to him. Expect the Blue Jays to create some traffic on the base paths, with Bassitt owning the highest xBA (.279) and lowest K rate (16.4%) of his career this season. Nobody is happier than George Springer, who's hit two homers off Bassitt in his career and has put up a .631 xSLG versus the righty in 26 plate appearances. On the other side is Max Scherzer, who Baltimore just tagged for six earned runs 11 days ago. No matter how you slice it, we'll see some offensive fireworks tonight. Time: 6:35 p.m. ET How to watch: Sportsnet, MASN More MLB picks for today Pick Odds SD ML 49% Read analysis in our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions NYM ML 45% Read analysis in our Mets vs. Rangers predictions NYY ML 56% Read analysis in our Rays vs. Yankees predictions Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.Not intended for use in MA.Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.